sai:
Anyone else keeping an eye on the situation with Iran’s Islamic revolutionary guard, talk about insurgents, the IRGC have been chucking money at Hezbollah and local insurgents and to top it off Iran are at risk of becoming even more isolated, I predict an increase in attacks on U.S targets and I wouldn’t put it past them to create havoc with cyber warfare...scary times folks.
Hezbollah is arguably not an insurgent group. Hezbollah is a legal political party in Lebanon and in fact when the Lebanese Civil War was officially ended was the only Lebanese political party allowed to have an armed militia. In fact they are the largest political party in Lebanon because the once majority Christian Maronite population has been greatly reduced as they joined the Lebanese Diaspora. Hezbollah is the only Arab force that has enjoyed victory over the Israelis in the 2006 Summer War vs the Egyptian and Syrian Army which enjoyed victories against Israel early in the 1973 Yom Kippur War.
Lebanon is unique in the sense that a political party has a Militia that is more powerful then the official armed forces of Lebanon.
The real threat to Western and Sunni Muslim Gulf States interests is the Civil War in Yemen. That is a very complex war and the Sunni Muslim nations in particular Saudi Arabia have murdered thousands of civilians in bombings plus there is widespread famine and disease such has Cholera.
Isolation works both ways. China used to import at least ten thousand barrels of oil per day from Iran. China is threatened with sanctions from the US making it more difficult to earn foreign currency to purchase oil.
If Iran suffers massive economic disruption or even collapse due to it's inability to export petroleum then it has no incentive to not cut off other nations petroleum exports in the Persian Gulf.
President Trump as some observers have stated as forced a dangerous rat in a corner
and should not be surprised if the rat bites back.
For sure the US which absolutely lost the counterinsurgency war in Iraq in no way can physically occupy the much more populated nation of Iran.